in 2003-as growers were encouraged by higher prices But the wool clip continued to fall

Released on = June 1, 2007, 10:45 pm

Press Release Author = Bharat Book Bureau

Industry = Marketing

Press Release Summary = World man-made fibre production grew even faster in 2004
than in 2003. Output was up by 8.9% to 34.6 mn tons following a 5.2% rise in 2003.
The 2004 increase reflected strong growth in China and lesser growth in India.

Press Release Body = Global Trends in Fibre Production, Consumption and Prices
(March 2005 edition)

World man-made fibre production grew even faster in 2004 than in 2003. Output was up
by 8.9% to 34.6 mn tons following a 5.2% rise in 2003. The 2004 increase reflected
strong growth in China and lesser growth in India. Synthetics accounted for most of
the growth, especially polyester, although cellulosics were up by a healthy 8.8%.
Output of natural fibres rose by a remarkable 21.7%-more than four times the 4.9%
increase registered in 2003. As a result, and unusually,the share of natural fibres
increased from 40.4% to 43.1%. The rise in natural fibre production was driven by a
staggering 23.2% increase in cotton output-following a 4.6% rise in 2003-as growers
were encouraged by higher prices. But the wool clip continued to fall.

The cotton price fell from a high of 76.80 cents/lb in November 2003 to 51.28
cents/lb in February 2005, reflecting fears of high stocks. Although demand in the
2004/05 season is up by 6.5%, mostly due to higher usage in China and South Asia,
output is up by 22.0% to a record 25.2 mn tons, according to the International
Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC). But lower prices have deterred plantings and
output will fall by 9.3% in 2005/06. The cotton price will average 57 cents/lb in
2005/06, 10 cents/lb more than in 2004/05, according to the ICAC but the EIU says
that such a figure will not be reached until the end of 2006.

Competition from man-made fibres and concerns over stocks, including those in the
textile pipeline, have also kept down wool prices. Currently, global demand for wool
fibre is being sustained largely by consumption in China. Elsewhere, consumption is
being depressed by the restructuring of the textile industries in industrialised
countries. The outlook is for only a modest rise in prices. Although stocks are
expected to fall slightly, supply and demand will be more or less in balance in
2005/06.


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