Business Monitor International Predicts Slower Growth In The Angola Construction Industry
Business Monitor International Warns Of China's Economic Slowdown
Released on: October 11, 2011, 3:30 pm
Author: Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) has released the latest
special report, "China 2012: From Miracle To Meltdown" outlining a
case for a severe growth collapse in China driven by declining money
supply growth rate, accelerating inflation and external slowdown with a
threat of a double dip recession in the US.
According to BMI, the bearish outlook for China's economy is more
credible now than at any point in recent history. With China’s housing market
exhibiting characteristics typically seen at the end of a bubble, a steep drop in
house prices as developers offload inventory would pose a risk of a cash crunch to
businesses operating in China, especially property developers and small and medium
enterprises (SMEs). As the repayment capacity of loans given to local government
investment vehicles increasingly comes under threat, BMI also expects a pronounced
correction in investment spending and instability in China’s banking sector.
From banking sector exposure and weak fiscal and monetary position, the report also
focuses on China’s consumer market and its ability to shoulder the burden of growth
should Chinese export growth fall due to a weakening US dollar and lower import
demand from the US and Europe.
Moreover "China 2012: From Miracle to Meltdown" assesses the impact of a Chinese
hard landing on the regional economy. While no country would be immune from a
Chinese hard landing, BMI argues that Australia is most precariously positioned to
suffer the consequences of this severe economic slowdown. A Chinese hard landing
would push the Australian economy over the
edge, likely ushering in a recession and potentially triggering a financial crisis.
Given the importance of China to the global economy, the report enables global
investors, strategists and decision-makers across the corporate spectrum to identify
business growth opportunities, avoid market risks and aid strategic planning
activities over the short, medium and long term.
About Business Monitor International:
Business Monitor International (BMI) established in 1984 with headquarters in London
is recognised as a leading independent source for analysis and forecasts on Country
Risk and Industry, spanning 175 countries. BMI provides research to multinational
corporations, banks, funds, research centres and governments in 140 countries around
the world, including more than 400 of the Fortune Global 500 companies.
Head of Strategic Analysis & Product Development
85 Queen Victoria Street
+44 (0)20 7248 0468
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